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Bitcoin experienced a sharp bounce above the $90,000 price mark, but this rise was brief and was cut short by the prevailing volatile market environment. With the persistent waning price action observed over the past few weeks, the once lucrative BTC on-chain moves are no longer paying off as profits have dropped sharply.
Profits From Bitcoin On-Chain Flows Falls
The current Bitcoin market is entering a noticeably different phase, and the evidence is starting to show it. A key on-chain metric indicates that the once-reliable rewards from transferring coins throughout the network are diminishing, suggesting that it is becoming increasingly difficult to profit from rapid price fluctuations.
With volatility decreases and participant behavior changes, BTC may be moving away from a trader-driven ecosystem. This development is spotted in the Bitcoin Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) Trend Signal metric. Bitcoin SOPR Trend Signal is a powerful metric that spots price regions where BTC has been moved at significant profit or loss.
In the past, this crucial indicator has produced precise signals for local highs and lows. As reported by Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data analytics platform, the metric is currently experiencing a steady decline. A decline in the SOPR Trend Signal hints at BTC being moved with progressively lower profits or moving toward loss-making transfers.
Source: Chart from Alphractal on X
Furthermore, Alphractal highlighted that a continued drop in this metric is typical of a bear market phase. However, a true bottom of the price could occur only when green signals appear on the chart. Currently, all indications on the chart suggest that it will take several months for this trend to be validated.
Joao Wedson, the founder of Alphractal, shared his insight on the decline, noting that it is part of the longstanding Bitcoin fractal cycle. Given that the factors influencing its market behavior have expanded, many believe that BTC’s cycles have changed and that this time it is different.
However, on-chain analysis offers a clear view of BTC continuously following its fractal cycle just as it did before. After his analysis of the trend, Wedson claims that nothing in the Bitcoin market cycle has changed so far.
According to the expert, BTC has been one of the most predictable investment assets in the ever-evolving cryptocurrency sector. Meanwhile, many continue to maintain that it must adhere to traditional markets, even though statistics do not support this.
BTC Unrealized Loss At 10%
After the pullback in price, Bitcoin’s unrealized losses are at a level that signals resilience rather than widespread distress. CryptoRank, a leading data analytics platform and crypto industry researcher, revealed that unrealized losses now make up 10% of market capitalization.
Despite the recent drop in Bitcoin prices, this implies that the vast majority of holders are still in profit, potentially contributing to hesitation toward further upside in BTC’s price. Interestingly, this lessens panic-driven selling pressure and signals that the market has already absorbed most of its negative risk.
BTC trading at $86,796 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
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