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The Bitcoin market continues to reflect much uncertainty, as the price shows little to no signs of recovery from the obvious bearish trend established in the last two weeks. However, on-chain data has surfaced that puts into perspective the price action of the flagship cryptocurrency and what market participants can, as a result, realistically anticipate.
Binance And Other Major Exchanges Witness Capitulation
In a recent QuickTake post on the CryptoQuant platform, analyst CryptoOnchain revealed a drastic change noticed across top exchanges involved with Bitcoin transactions. The relevant indicator here is the Bitcoin Taker Buy Ratio, which gauges the proportion of trading volume initiated by the buyers against the magnitude of transactions elicited by sellers. In this case, the analyst measured the Taker Buy Ratio on Binance and that on “All Exchanges” as a collective.
A reading above 0.5 represents the presence of more buyers as opposed to the relative scarcity of sellers. On the flip side, values below 0.5 points at the preponderance of sellers across the measured exchange. As was reported by CryptoOnchain, the Bitcoin Taker Buy Ratio recently fell to a “multi-year low” of about 0.47. Clearly seen on Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, a Taker Buy Ratio below 0.5 is expectedly to back the overwhelming sell pressure seen reflected on Bitcoin’s price.
What’s interesting about this surge in sell pressure is how it follows the recent spike previously noted in exchange inflows. The analyst explains completes a typical capitulation sequence starts with “panic inflows,” a scenario where investors hurriedly move their BTC holdings to exchanges. After this, aggressive selling follows suit, increasing bearish pressure on the price.
Usually, when the market records this high a magnitude of sales, it means the market sentiment could be in a state of fear. True to this, the analyst explained that “the dominance of aggressive sellers over the buyers has reached an extreme point.”
Bitcoin Market Outlook
At the moment, there is a high possibility that the bearish pressure dominating the market could send Bitcoin’s price further towards the downside, seeing as the market appears to struggle against this wave of supply.
However, CryptoOnchain reemphasized known historical trends suggesting that this kind of capitulation event, where the market flushes out the weak hands, has often preceded the establishment of a market bottom. If history is anything to go by, the Bitcoin market could be nearing price levels where it begins to see significant bullish reversals.
For this to be possible, the analyst added a caveat that it most likely would be on the condition that the 0.5 level has been decisively reclaimed, especially if it were to occur on a large exchange like Binance. As of press time, Bitcoin is worth approximately $106,900, with a slight but insignificant growth of 0.3% over the past day.
BTC trading at $106,948 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Flickr, chart from Tradingview
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